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SOCIAL EXCLUSION AND THE CHANGING DEMOGRAPHIC PORTRAIT OF EUROPE
The Fourth International Conference of the EAPS Working Group “Second Demographic Transition”
6-8 September, Budapest
THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 6
8:30 – 9:30 Registration
9:30 – 9:45 Opening of the Conference
9:45 – 12:00 Session 1
Social structure and demographic processes – dynamics of material circumstances and life course behavior
9:45 – 10:15
Thomson, Elizabeth (University of Wisconsin, USA; University of Stockholm, Sweden)
Education and the family life course in Europe
10:15 – 10:45
Hagestad, Gunhild (Adger University College, Kristiansand, Norway)
Consequences of demographic choices for intergenerational ties
presentation
10:45 – 11:00
Hillmert, Steffen (Tübingen University, Tübingen, Germany)
Links between education, demographic behavior and social reproduction in 20th century in Germany
presentation
11:00 – 11:15
Hobcraft, John (University of York, Great Britain)
The interplays of gender and cohort with childhood antecedents of adult outcomes: socioeconomic status,
health, and timing of parenthood
presentation
11:15 – 11:45 Discussion
11:45 – 12:00 Coffee break
12:00 – 13:00 Poster session 1 (Room Fényes Elek, first floor)
13:00 – 14:00 Lunch
14:00 – 17:30 Session 2
The early phase of the life course: leaving home, and partnership formation
14:00 – 14:30
Billari, Francesco C. – Vitali, Agnese (“Carlo F. Dondena” Centre for Research on Socila Dynamics,
Università Bocconi, Milan, Italy)
Becoming an adult in different welfare regimes: An analysis based on the 2004-05 European Social Survey
presentation
14:30 – 15:00
Aassve, Arnstein (ISER, University of Essex, Great Britain)
Economic wellbeing and leaving home in Europe
presentation
15:00 – 15:30 Discussion
15:30 – 16:00 Coffee break
16:00-16:15
Toulemon, Laurent (Institut National d’Études Démographiques, Paris, France) - Winkler-Dworak, Maria
(Vienna Institute of Demography, Austria)
Gender and social differences in the transition to adulthood in France. A sequence analysis
presentation
16:15 – 16:30
Szalma, Ivett - Róbert, Péter (Corvinus University of Budapest, Hungary)
The effect of education and labor market uncertainties on partnership formation in Hungary
presentation
16 :30 – 16 :45
Smits, Annika – Mulder, Clara H. (University of Amsterdam, The Netherlands)
Coresidence of adult children and their parents in the Netherlands
presentation
16:45 – 17:00
Kostova, Dora (Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany)
Cohabitations vs. marriage in Russia – a joint analysis of first marital and non-marital union formation
presentation
17:00 – 17:30 Discussion
19:00 - Evening program at the “Vénhajó” standing ship on the Danube
FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 7
9:00 – 10:30 Session 3
Union dissolution: divorce and lone parenthood
9:00 – 9:30
Kiernan, Kathleen (University of York, Great Britain)
Parental separation and disadvantage
presentation
9:30 – 9:45
Reneflot, Anne (Lillehammer University College, Lillehammer, Norway)
Family dissolution and children’s educational attainment: evidence from Norway
presentation
9:45 – 10:00
Trevino, Rocio (Autonomous University of Barcelona, Spain) - Simó, Carles (University of Valencia, Spain) -
Solsona, Montse (Autonomous University of Barcelona, Spain)
Single parenthood in Spain
presentation
10:00 – 10:30 Discussion
10:30 – 11:00 Coffee break
11:00 – 12:30 Session 4
Ideational factors and structural pressures in Central Eastern Europe
11:00 – 11:30
Thornton, Arland (University of Michigan, Ann Arbour, USA) - Philipov, Dimiter (Vienna Institute of
Demography, Austria)
Family and demographic behavior in Central and Eastern Europe: Changing influences of developmental
idealism, political economy, and intergenerational relationships
presentation
11:30 – 12:00
Spéder, Zsolt – Kapitány, Balázs (HCSO Demographic Research Institute, Budapest, Hungary)
Structural and ideational effects on parenthood during the time of transition: Hungary as a case of post-
communist countries
presentation
12:00 – 12:30 Discussion
12:30 – 13:30 Poster session 2 (Room Fényes Elek, first floor)
13:30 – 14:30 Lunch
14:30 – 18:15 Session 5
Childbearing and childrearing: structural causes and consequences
14:30 – 15:00
Kravdal, Øystein (Oslo University, Norway)
Differential fertility: educational differences
presentation
15:00 – 15:15
Van Bavel, Jan (Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Belgium)
Field of education and postponement of parenthood in Europe
presentation
15:15 – 15:30
Michielin, Francesca - Mulder, Clara H. (University of Amsterdam, The Netherlands)
The influence of grandparents’ proximity and childcare availability on second and third births
presentation
15:30 – 16:00 Discussion
16:00 – 16:30 Coffee break
16:30 – 17:00
Pailhé, Ariane (Institut National d’Études Démographiques, Paris, France)
Labor market and parenthood
presentation
17:00 – 17:15
Matysiak, Anna (Warsaw School of Economics, Poland)
Changing conditions of labour force participation and their impact on childbearing – the case of Poland
presentation
17:15 – 17:30
Lappegard, Trude (Statistics Norway) - Aassve, Arnstein (ISER, University of Essex, Great Britain)
Evaluation of cash-benefit reform on timing of women’s fertility
presentation
17:30 – 17:45
De Vries, Jannes (Tilburg University, The Netherlands)
The decline in income after the birth of children
presentation
17:45 – 18:15 Discussion
SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 8
9:00 – 13:00 Session 6
The demography of migrants and ethnic minorities in Europe
9:00 – 9:30
Courbage, Youssef (Institut National d’Études Démographiques, Paris, France)
Migrants in Western Europe: their social status and demographic behavior
presentation
9:30 – 9:45
Andersson, Gunnar (Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany) - Scott, Kirk (Lund
University, Sweden)
Childbearing dynamics of couples in a universalistic welfare state: the role of labor-market status, country of
origin, and gender
presentation
9:45 – 10:00
Sobotka, Tomas (Vienna Institute of Demography, Austria)
The rising importance of migrants for childbearing in Europe
presentation
10:00 – 10:15
Zorlu, Aslan (University of Amsterdam, The Netherlands)
Leaving parental home and spatial assimilation of immigrants in the Netherlands
presentation
10:15 – 10:45 Discussion
10:45 – 11:15 Coffee break
11:15 – 11:45
Kalmijn, Matthijs (Tilburg University, The Netherlands)
A comparative perspective on ethnic intermarriage
presentation
draft paper
11:45 – 12:00
Veres, Valér (Babes-Bolyai Universitet, Cluj-Napoca, Romania)
Differential population growth of Hungarian and Roma minority from Romania: Ethnocultural or structural
factors?
presentation
12:00 – 12:15
Durst, Judit (Corvinus University, Budapest, Hungary)
Changes in the reproductive strategies of the ghetto-poor gypsies in Hungary
presentation
12:15 – 12:30
Kovács, Éva (Sociological Institute of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences, Budapest, Hungary) - Melegh,
Attila (HCSO Demographic Research Institute, Budapest, Hungary)
Gender, class and ethnicity in the life course perspective of immigrant women
presentation
12:30 – 13:00 Discussion
13:00 – 14:00 Lunch
14:00 – 15:45 Session 7
Intergenerational transmission of demographic behavior and disadvantage
14:00 – 14:30
Liefbroer, Aat (Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute, The Hague, The Netherlands)
Intergenerational transmission of family-life trajectories
presentation
14:30 – 14:45
Jasilioniene, Aiva – Andreev, Evgueni (Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany)
Premarital conception and divorce risk in Russia in light of the GGS data
presentation
14:45 – 15:00
Lyngstad, Torkild Hovde (Statistics Norway, Oslo, Norway) - Engelhardt, Henriette (University of Bamberg,
Germany; Vienna Institute of Demography, Austria)
The intergenerational transmission of divorce depends on age at parental divorce
15:00 – 15:15
De Valk, Helga (Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute, The Hague, The Netherlands)
Generational differentials in childbearing preferences among migrant and Dutch parents and children
presentation
15:15 – 15:45 Discussion
15:45 – 16:00 Closing of the Conference
POSTER SESSION 1
1. Aassve, Arnstein (University of Essex, Great Britain) – Davia, Maria A. (Universidad de Castilla La
Mancha, Spain) – Iacovou, Maria (University of Essex, Great Britain) – Mencarini, Letizia (University of
Florence, Italy)
Poverty and the transition to adulthood: Risky situations and risky events
2. Engler, Ágnes – Nagy Zsuzsa (University of Debrecen, Hungary)
Family or career? Family planning of students in higher education
poster
3. Fliegenschnee, Katrin (Vienna Institute of Demography, Austria)
“There are simply always enough good reasons against a child!” Fears and worries about parenthood
among childless, highly educated Austrian women and men
poster
4. Földházi, Erzsébet (HCSO Demographic Research Institute, Budapest, Hungary)
Factors influencing divorce in Hungary over time
poster
5. Haragus, Mihaela – Haragus, Paul Teodor (Babes-Bolyai University, Cluj-Napoca, Romania)
Fertility and socio-economic differences in urban and rural Romania
6. Keller, Tamás – Gábos, András (TÁRKI, Social Research Institute Inc., Budapest, Hungary)
The impact of flexible work arrangements on the work-life balance
poster
7. Kotzeva, Tatyana (Center of Population Studies at the Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, Sofia, Bulgaria)
Leaving home in post-socialist Bulgaria: prolonged parental dependence or expanded residential choice
poster
8. Kovács, Eszter – Pikó, Bettina (University of Szeged, Hungary)
The transition of late adolescence: Preferences of different partnership formations in the light of values and
attitudes
poster
9. Rootalu, Kadri (University of Tartu, Estonia)
Educational level of the divorcing population in Estonia during the transformation period 1992-2005
poster
10. De Rose, Alessandra – De Pascale, Anna (University of Rome “La Sapienza”, Italy)
The housing market in Italy and its impact on young people leaving parental home
poster
11. Santarelli, Elisabetta (University of Rome “La Sapienza”, Italy)
Socioeconomic conditions of young couples in Italy: evidence from EU-SILC
poster
12. Sántha, Ágnes Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary)
Becoming independent: discourse of young adults on their leaving home. A comparative study of Hungarian
and German singles
13. Stankuniene, Vlada – Maslauskaite, Ausra (Demographic Research Center, Vilnius, Lithuania)
Paradoxes in patterns of partnership and childbearing behaviour during transformations in Lithuania.
Several parallel populations?
poster
POSTER SESSION 2
1. Blaauboer, Marjolein – Mulder, Clara H. (University of Amsterdam, The Netherlands)
Family background and leaving parental home
poster
paper (preliminary version)
2. Busetta, Annalisa – Giambalvo, Ornella (University of Palermo, Italy)
Lowest low fertility in Hungary: casual aspect and demographic consequences
3. Capacci, Giorgia – Castagnaro, Cinzia – Salvati, Luca (ISTAT, Instituto Nazionale di Statistica, Rome, Italy)
Social exclusion of foreign people in Italy: a multidimensional analysis
poster
4. Fliegenschnee, Katrin (Vienna Institute of Demography, Austria) – Engelhardt-Wölfler, Henriette (Otto-
Friedrich-Universität Bamberg, Germany) – Fürkranz-Prskawetz, Alexia (Vienna Institute of Demography)
Fertility as a multistate process and the role of rational vs. emotional arguments
poster
5. Glorieaux, Ignace – Laurijssen, Ilse – van Dorsselaer, Yolis (Vrije Universiteit, Brussel, Belgium)
Social position of migrant youth to the labour market: integration or exclusion?
poster
handout
6. Haskova, Hana (Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic, Institute of Sociology, Prague)
Structural and value conditions of entering parenthood in the Czech Republic
poster
7. Janouskova, Klara (University of Ostrava, Czech Republic)
Barriers of the parenthood: Case of the career oriented mothers
8. Kesseli, Katja (University of Helsinki, Finland)
First birth in Russia and in Estonia
9. Mendes, Maria Filomena (Universidade de Évora, Portugal)
The future of Portugese and Spanish fertility – evidence from the European Social Survey (Round 2)
10. Nicolaas, Han – Garssen, Joop (Statistics Netherlands, Voorburg, The Netherlands)
Recent trend in fertility of non-western females
poster
full paper
11. Pamporov, Alexey (Open Society Institute, Sofia, Bulgaria)
Social exclusion of Roma in Bulgaria and some “unacceptable” demographic patterns
extended abstract
12. Potancokova, Michaela – Sprocha, Branislav (Demographic Research Centre, Bratislava, Slovak
Republic)
Interplay between the living conditions and reproductive behaviour of Roma population in Slovakia
according to different levels of integration
poster
13. Rakoczyova, Myrka (Institute of Labor and Social Affairs, Prague, Czech Republic)
Jobs and integration – Migrant workers and their employers in the Czech republic
poster
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